2026 3M Open odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

Golf's major season is over, but the PGA Tour rolls along to the 2026 3M Open which beings Thursday. Contested at TPC Twin Cities in the Minneapolis metro, the 3M Open 2026 field isn't quite as loaded as The Open last week, but Scottie Scheffler is a part of it. Coming off a fourth place at the British Open, Scheffler is the +270 favorite, per the latest 2026 3M Open odds, as he seeks his second win of the year.

There is a huge gulf between Scheffler and everyone else to target with 3M Open bets. Kurt Kitayama, who won this tournament last year, is the second favorite at +2200, with Maverick McNealy (+2700) the only other to utilize in PGA predictions shorter than +3000. Before locking in any 2026 3M Open picks, be sure to see the 2026 3M Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.

Now that the 2026 3M Open field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

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One major surprise the model is calling for at the 3M Open 2026: Maverick McNealy (+2700), one of the favorites, stumbles and doesn't even finish in the top 5. The Stanford product hasn't been on the best run as of late, missing The Open cut, placing 55th at his previous tournament and finishing 32nd in the start before that. He also missed the cut at the 3M Open last year as the weakness of his approach game doesn't play well at this course. McNealy ranks 113th in strokes gained: approach the green and is even worse with his driver precision, ranking 122nd in driving accuracy percentage. There being just two golfers with shorter 3M Open odds than McNealy make him overpriced given his trends and stats, as he's one to avoid with PGA bets. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Johnny Keefer rises up the leaderboard despite having longer odds of +6500. The 25-year-old placed third at the Scottish Open two weeks ago, which was his third top 10 of the season. Keefer is among the best ball strikers on tour, ranking second in greens in regulation percentage, with additional top 10s in both driving distance and strokes gained: off-the-tee. Those strengths will be magnified at TPC Twin Cities, which puts an emphasis on iron play as opposed to putting. The large greens help out below-average putters, like Keefer, so his skills make him a golf betting target for anyone looking for a huge payday. See who else to pick here.

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The model is also targeting two other massive longshots of at least +6000 to make a run for the title. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2026 3M Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 3M Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

Get full 2026 3M Open picks, best bets and predictions here.(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +270 Kurt Kitayama +2200 Maverick McNealy +2700 Jackson Koivun +3000 Hideki Matsuyama +3000 Jake Knapp +3000 Keith Mitchell +3000 Tom Kim +3500 Pierceson Coody +4000 Doug Ghim +4500 Jackson Suber +4500 Jordan Smith +4500 Ben James +5000 Sungjae Im +5000 Gary Woodland +5000 Corey Conners +5000 Sam Stevens +5500 Max Homa +5500 Michael Brennan +6000 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +6000 Sudarshan Yellamaraju +6000 Tony Finau +6000 Davis Thompson +6500 Max Greyserman +6500 Mac Meissner +6500 Johnny Keefer +6500 Jason Day +6500 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000 Rasmus Højgaard +7000 Aldrich Potgieter +7000 William Mouw +7000 Kevin Yu +8000 Michael Kim +8000 Ricky Castillo +8000 Steven Fisk +8000 Casey Jarvis +8000 Taylor Pendrith +8000 Stephan Jaeger +8000 Beau Hossler +10000 Jesper Svensson +10000 Lee Hodges +10000 Thorbjørn Olesen +10000 Taylor Moore +10000 Emiliano Grillo +10000 Keita Nakajima +10000 Mackenzie Hughes +10000 Brian Harman +10000 John Parry +10000 Ben Kohles +10000 Richard Hoey +10000 Haotong Li +10000 Zach Bauchou +10000 Matti Schmid +10000 Lucas Glover +10000 Preston Stout +10000 Patrick Rodgers +12500 Austin Smotherman +12500 Zecheng Dou +12500 Andrew Putnam +12500 Seamus Power +12500 Denny McCarthy +12500 Chris Kirk +12500 Max McGreevy +12500 Adrien Dumont de Chassart +12500 Zac Blair +15000 Billy Horschel +15000 Garrick Higgo +15000 Austin Eckroat +15000 Gordon Sargent +15000 Kristoffer Ventura +15000 A.J. Ewart +15000 Matt Kuchar +15000 Ryder Cowan +15000 Pontus Nyholm +17500 Karl Vilips +17500 Chad Ramey +17500 Luke Clanton +17500 Erik van Rooyen +17500 Patrick Fishburn +17500 Matthieu Pavon +17500 Kevin Roy +17500 Tom Hoge +17500 Neal Shipley +17500 Nick Dunlap +17500 Brandt Snedeker +22500 Trace Crowe +22500 Takumi Kanaya +22500 Hayden Springer +22500 Aaron Wise +22500 David Lipsky +22500 Joel Dahmen +22500 S.Y. Noh +22500 David Skinns +22500 Mark Hubbard +22500 Will Gordon +25000 Vince Whaley +25000 Chandler Phillips +25000 Harry Higgs +25000 Luke List +25000 Cameron Champ +25000 Adam Hadwin +35000 Lanto Griffin +35000 Stefano Mazzoli +35000 Nick Hardy +50000 Adam Svensson +50000 Dylan Wu +50000 Cam Davis +50000 Joe Highsmith +50000 Paul Peterson +50000 Jimmy Stanger +50000 Kevin Streelman +50000 Ben Silverman +50000 Alejandro Tosti +50000 Fabián Gómez +50000 John VanDerLaan +50000 Chandler Blanchet +50000 Brice Garnett +75000 Peter Malnati +75000 Davis Chatfield +75000 Jeffrey Kang +75000 Brian Campbell +75000 Justin Lower +75000 Kensei Hirata +75000 Hank Lebioda +75000 Nicholas Lindheim +100000 Troy Merritt +100000 Ben Martin +100000 Marcelo Rozo +100000 Rafael Campos +100000 Muzzy Donohue +100000 Patton Kizzire +100000 Davis Riley +100000 Christo Lamprecht +100000 Jeremy Paul +100000 Adam Schenk +100000 Danny Walker +100000 Thomas Campbell +100000 Camilo Villegas +100000 Sihan Sandhu +100000 Tyler Duncan +100000