2026 3M Open odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

Golf's major season is over, but the PGA Tour rolls along to the 2026 3M Open, which begins Thursday. It's one of three remaining events before the playoffs begin on Aug. 13. Contested at TPC Twin Cities in the Minneapolis metro, the 3M Open 2026 field isn't quite as loaded as The Open last week, but Scottie Scheffler is a part of it. Coming off a fourth place at the British Open, Scheffler is the +260 (risk $100 to win $260) favorite, per the latest 2026 3M Open odds, as he seeks his second win of the year.

There is a huge gulf between Scheffler and everyone else to target with 3M Open bets. Kurt Kitayama, who won this tournament last year, is the second favorite at +2500. He joins Maverick McNealy (+2700) as the only golfers on the board shorter than +3000. Before locking in any 2026 3M Open picks, be sure to see the 2026 3M Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters -- its fifth Masters in a row -- as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites.

Now that the 2026 3M Open field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

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One major surprise the model is calling for at the 3M Open 2026: McNealy (+2700), one of the favorites, stumbles and doesn't even finish in the top 5. The Stanford product hasn't been on the best run as of late, missing The Open cut, placing 55th at his previous tournament and finishing 32nd in the start before that. He also missed the cut at the 3M Open last year as the weakness of his approach game doesn't play well at this course. McNealy ranks 113th in strokes gained: approach the green and is even worse with his driver precision, ranking 122nd in driving accuracy percentage. There being just two golfers with shorter 3M Open odds than McNealy make him overpriced given his trends and stats, as he's one to avoid with PGA bets. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Johnny Keefer rises up the leaderboard despite having longer odds of +6000. The 25-year-old placed third at the Scottish Open two weeks ago, which was his third top 10 of the season. Keefer is among the best ball strikers on tour, ranking second in greens in regulation percentage, with additional top 10s in both driving distance and strokes gained: off-the-tee. Those strengths will be magnified at TPC Twin Cities, which puts an emphasis on iron play as opposed to putting. The large greens help out below-average putters, like Keefer, so his skills make him a golf betting target for anyone looking for a huge payday. See who else to pick here.

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The model is also targeting a massive longshot of higher than +6000 to make a run for the title. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2026 3M Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 3M Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

Get full 2026 3M Open picks, best bets and predictions here.(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +260Kurt Kitayama +2500Maverick McNealy +2700Hideki Matsuyama +3000Tom Kim +3000Keith Mitchell +3300Jackson Koivun +3500Pierceson Coody +4000Corey Conners +4000Jake Knapp +4000Jordan Smith +4000Ben James +4500Jackson Suber +4500Doug Ghim +4500Sungjae Im +5000Mac Meissner +5000Sam Stevens +5500Max Homa +5500Johnny Keefer +6000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6500Michael Brennan +6500Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +6500Gary Woodland +6500Ben Kohles +6500Casey Jarvis +6500Tony Finau +6500Emiliano Grillo +7000Max Greyserman +7000Brian Harman +7000Beau Hossler +8000Michael Kim +8000Sudarshan Yellamaraju +8000Max McGreevy +8000Jason Day +8000William Mouw +8000Zac Blair +10000Jesper Svensson +10000Kevin Yu +10000Lee Hodges +10000Thorbjørn Olesen +10000Davis Thompson +10000Keita Nakajima +10000Andrew Putnam +10000Seamus Power +10000Richard Hoey +10000Taylor Moore +10000John Parry +10000Ricky Castillo +10000Rasmus Højgaard +10000Denny McCarthy +10000Mackenzie Hughes +10000Stephan Jaeger +10000Haotong Li +10000Zach Bauchou +10000Steven Fisk +10000Taylor Pendrith +10000Aldrich Potgieter +10000Preston Stout +10000Matti Schmid +10000Lucas Glover +10000Austin Smotherman +12500Zecheng Dou +12500Kristoffer Ventura +12500Kevin Roy +12500Matt Kuchar +12500Patrick Rodgers +15000Billy Horschel +15000Garrick Higgo +15000Austin Eckroat +15000Chris Kirk +15000Adrien Dumont de Chassart +15000Tom Hoge +15000Brandt Snedeker +17500Luke Clanton +17500Karl Vilips +17500Gordon Sargent +17500Takumi Kanaya +17500Aaron Wise +17500A.J. Ewart +17500Patrick Fishburn +17500Matthieu Pavon +17500David Lipsky +17500Joel Dahmen +17500Ryder Cowan +17500Adam Hadwin +22500Pontus Nyholm +22500Brice Garnett +22500Chad Ramey +22500Davis Chatfield +22500Erik van Rooyen +22500Hayden Springer +22500Neal Shipley +22500David Skinns +22500Cameron Champ +22500Nick Dunlap +22500Mark Hubbard +22500Chandler Phillips +25000Trace Crowe +25000Paul Peterson +25000Adam Svensson +35000Lanto Griffin +35000Harry Higgs +35000Vince Whaley +35000Stefano Mazzoli +35000Joe Highsmith +35000John VanDerLaan +35000Chandler Blanchet +35000Will Gordon +50000Dylan Wu +50000Jimmy Stanger +50000Luke List +50000Justin Lower +50000Ben Silverman +50000Hank Lebioda +50000Kensei Hirata +50000Alejandro Tosti +50000Tyler Duncan +50000Nicholas Lindheim +75000Nick Hardy +75000Peter Malnati +75000Jeffrey Kang +75000Cam Davis +75000Kevin Streelman +75000Fabián Gómez +75000Troy Merritt +100000Brian Campbell +100000Marcelo Rozo +100000Ben Martin +100000Muzzy Donohue +100000Patton Kizzire +100000Davis Riley +100000Rafael Campos +100000Jeremy Paul +100000Christo Lamprecht +100000Adam Schenk +100000Sihan Sandhu +100000Thomas Campbell +100000Danny Walker +100000Camilo Villegas +100000Ryan Brehm +100000Jeevan Sihota +100000Brannon Fahrny +100000Griffin Wood +100000Cooper Schultz +100000